India Commercial Real Estate Market 2030: Office Demand Boom

Market Outlook

The India Commercial Real Estate Market was valued at USD 50.29 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to project robust growth through 2030 with a CAGR of 18.52%. This remarkable growth trajectory is driven by a confluence of urbanization, rising demand for office and retail spaces, and infrastructure developments in tier I and tier II cities. Government initiatives such as the Smart Cities Mission and the Real Estate (Regulation and Development) Act (RERA) have contributed significantly to boosting investor confidence, thereby attracting both domestic and foreign investments. Additionally, India’s steady economic growth, digitization, and the expansion of multinational corporations (MNCs) have intensified demand for commercial real estate, especially in metro cities like Bengaluru, Hyderabad, Mumbai, and Delhi NCR.

Moreover, the proliferation of startups, co-working spaces, and the resurgence of brick-and-mortar retail post-pandemic are further pushing the need for commercial properties. Flexible leasing models, better returns compared to residential real estate, and improved transparency in transactions are shifting investor interest toward commercial assets. Additionally, the ongoing development of logistics parks, data centers, and mixed-use developments is diversifying the investment opportunities, creating a holistic commercial real estate ecosystem in the country.

 

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Market Driver Analysis

One of the most prominent drivers of the India Commercial Real Estate Market is the increasing demand for office spaces, particularly in IT and ITeS sectors. In FY2024, office space leasing crossed 50 million sq. ft., marking a 20% rise from the previous year. Bengaluru led this growth with over 14 million sq. ft., followed by Hyderabad and Pune. The trend is significantly driven by the growth in outsourcing and the hybrid work culture where companies are rethinking space strategies to accommodate flexibility and functionality.

Retail and warehousing segments are also key contributors. The retail sector is rebounding strongly post-COVID-19, with footfalls in malls increasing by nearly 25% year-over-year in 2023. Simultaneously, the boom in e-commerce has led to a surge in demand for Grade A warehousing facilities. India’s warehouse stock grew to over 300 million sq. ft. in 2023, with tier II cities like Lucknow, Coimbatore, and Jaipur emerging as new logistics hubs.

Furthermore, favorable government policies such as 100% FDI in construction development projects and the implementation of REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) have significantly increased the flow of capital into the sector. Institutional investments in commercial real estate reached over USD 7 billion in 2023, underlining investor confidence. Additionally, ongoing infrastructure developments such as metro rail expansions and highway connectivity are improving the viability and attractiveness of peripheral locations, thereby broadening the commercial real estate canvas in India.

Market Trends Analysis

The India Commercial Real Estate Market is witnessing several emerging trends that are shaping its future dynamics. One of the most notable is the proliferation of flexible workspaces. With nearly 40% of all office leasing in 2023 attributed to coworking operators, the shift towards shared office infrastructure is becoming mainstream, especially among startups and SMEs. Operators such as WeWork India, Awfis, and Smartworks have aggressively expanded in tier I and tier II cities, providing modern workspace solutions.

Another key trend is the rise of green and sustainable buildings. With India ranked third globally in terms of LEED-certified buildings, developers are increasingly integrating eco-friendly materials, energy-efficient designs, and smart building technologies. The increased environmental consciousness among corporate tenants is pushing demand for buildings that meet global sustainability standards, especially in metro regions.

Technology integration is transforming real estate operations and customer engagement. PropTech startups are reshaping leasing, property management, and tenant services using AI, IoT, and blockchain technologies. For instance, digital property listings, automated lease agreements, and AI-driven investment insights are making the commercial real estate process more transparent and efficient.

Furthermore, there is a growing inclination toward mixed-use developments combining residential, retail, and office spaces in one ecosystem. These integrated townships offer convenience, reduce commute times, and improve work-life balance—appealing to both corporates and tenants. Lastly, the entry of global investors and expansion of REIT portfolios have introduced a new level of professionalism and transparency in asset management, encouraging more retail investors to enter the market.

 

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Market Challenges Analysis

Despite promising growth, the India Commercial Real Estate Market faces several challenges that could hinder its trajectory. One major concern is the regulatory and compliance burden. Although RERA and other reforms have brought transparency, the approval processes across states remain inconsistent, leading to project delays and increased costs.

Financing challenges, particularly for smaller developers, persist due to stringent lending norms and rising interest rates. According to a recent CREDAI report, over 30% of commercial real estate developers cited liquidity issues as a significant bottleneck in project execution. Furthermore, rising construction costs—driven by inflation in raw materials such as cement and steel—are impacting project viability and margins.

Another significant hurdle is the oversupply of office space in some micro-markets, leading to stagnation in rental yields. For example, parts of Gurugram and Noida are experiencing vacancy rates as high as 25%, raising concerns about overbuilding without proportionate demand.

Additionally, the evolving work culture and remote work policies adopted by several large corporations pose a challenge to long-term office space commitments. While hybrid models have created opportunities, they also bring uncertainty in demand forecasts. Finally, geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainty, particularly affecting cross-border investments and capital flows, remain external risks that could affect the pace of market expansion.

Segmentations

India Commercial Real Estate Market, By Type:

  • New Construction
  • Resale

India Commercial Real Estate Market, By Category:

  • Shopping Centres and Malls
  • Medical & Educational Buildings
  • Hotels & Offices
  • Others

Regional Analysis

India’s commercial real estate growth is largely driven by its major metropolitan regions, although tier II cities are gaining traction due to infrastructure improvements and policy initiatives. Bengaluru continues to dominate the office space market, accounting for nearly 27% of all leasing activity in 2023. Known as the Silicon Valley of India, the city benefits from a robust tech ecosystem, skilled workforce, and favorable climate, attracting global IT giants and startups alike.

Hyderabad is quickly emerging as a commercial hotspot, driven by the Telangana government’s business-friendly policies. The city recorded over 11 million sq. ft. of office space absorption in 2023. Areas like Gachibowli and HITEC City have witnessed rapid development with improved metro connectivity and modern infrastructure, drawing companies from sectors like pharma, IT, and financial services.

Mumbai, being the financial capital, remains a key market for commercial office and retail developments. In 2023, over 9.5 million sq. ft. of office space was leased, particularly in locations like BKC and Lower Parel. The city also leads in REIT-backed commercial buildings, indicating rising investor confidence and institutional participation.

Delhi NCR, comprising Gurgaon and Noida, remains vital due to proximity to political power and established industrial corridors. However, Noida is facing challenges with oversupply and high vacancy, while Gurgaon’s Cyber Hub continues to thrive, supported by high-quality infrastructure and expressway connectivity.

Chennai and Pune are becoming major contenders, especially in the IT and automotive sectors. Pune added nearly 6 million sq. ft. of commercial space in 2023. These cities offer cost advantages, skilled labor, and growing startup ecosystems. Moreover, Ahmedabad and Kochi are seeing renewed interest owing to the expansion of warehousing and data center needs.

With increased focus on regional connectivity through projects like Bharatmala and Gati Shakti, peripheral regions around these metros are seeing commercial activity shift toward affordable and scalable developments. For instance, Navi Mumbai and Greater Noida are being tapped for new data center parks and logistics hubs. As infrastructure matures, the geographical spread of commercial real estate will continue expanding beyond the top cities.

Primary Catalysts and Hindrances

The primary catalysts fueling the India Commercial Real Estate Market include digital transformation across industries, rising corporate investments, and a favorable policy environment such as REITs and FDI relaxations. Additionally, post-pandemic hybrid work models and the demand for high-grade logistics and retail spaces have opened new avenues for development.

Conversely, challenges such as regulatory bottlenecks, liquidity issues for mid-sized developers, and uncertain demand forecasting due to evolving workplace strategies hinder consistent growth. Fluctuations in input costs and delayed project deliveries are also persistent concerns across the sector.

Key Players and Market Analysis

  1. DLF Ltd – As one of India’s largest real estate developers, DLF boasts a vast portfolio in commercial, retail, and residential segments. Its Cyber City in Gurgaon is a landmark development.
  2. Godrej Properties Ltd – Known for sustainable and innovative building practices, Godrej has expanded its commercial presence with projects in Pune, Mumbai, and Bengaluru.
  3. HDIL – Focuses mainly on Mumbai metropolitan area projects, though its market presence has declined in recent years.
  4. Oberoi Realty Limited – A major player in Mumbai’s luxury real estate, Oberoi has developed several office spaces and mixed-use complexes.
  5. Equinox India Developments – This company has made significant investments in high-end office spaces, particularly in Bengaluru.
  6. Prestige Estate Projects Ltd – With strongholds in Bengaluru and Hyderabad, Prestige has diversified commercial offerings, including tech parks and mall spaces.
  7. Supertech Limited – Predominantly active in Delhi NCR, it offers a mix of commercial and residential projects.
  8. Savills India – As a property consultancy, Savills plays a crucial role in commercial leasing, valuation, and market analysis.
  9. Brigade Group – Active in South India, Brigade operates multiple commercial hubs including World Trade Center buildings in Bengaluru and Chennai.
  10. Unitech Real Estate Pvt Ltd – Once a top developer, Unitech has faced significant setbacks but continues to hold assets in key urban centers.

These players are increasingly focusing on green buildings, smart infrastructure, and REIT partnerships to enhance asset value and attract global investments.

Future Outlook

  1. Increased adoption of hybrid workspaces will drive flexible office demand.
  2. REITs will gain more retail investors, enhancing liquidity in commercial assets.
  3. Demand for Grade A warehouses will continue to grow due to e-commerce.
  4. Green buildings will become the norm across metro cities.
  5. Data center parks will emerge in cities like Pune, Noida, and Navi Mumbai.
  6. Tier II cities will witness a sharp rise in commercial project launches.
  7. PropTech solutions will automate leasing and property management processes.
  8. Mixed-use developments will become a preferred model for urban planning.
  9. Government infra projects will support commercial expansions in peripheral zones.
  10. Foreign institutional investment will increase in long-term leases and REITs.

FAQs

  1. What are the main categories in India’s commercial real estate market?
    • Shopping centres, offices, hotels, medical and educational buildings.
  2. Which city leads the commercial real estate market in India?
    • Bengaluru leads with the highest office leasing activity.
  3. What is driving demand for warehouse spaces in India?
    • Growth of e-commerce and last-mile delivery needs.
  4. Are REITs popular in India’s commercial real estate sector?
    • Yes, they have gained traction, especially in office and retail sectors.
  5. Which regions are seeing new commercial hubs emerge?
    • Pune, Ahmedabad, Navi Mumbai, and Coimbatore.

 

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May 12, 2025